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Wednesday, April 28, 2010

Time For Principal Reduction

These are extraordinary times and they call for extraordinary approaches. Here are 10 reasons why reducing loan balances and restoring lost equity is the best approach now.

1. What we are doing to address the problem isn’t working.
It isn’t going to work and, in fact, the longer we pretend that there will be significant loan modifications, the worse things are going to get.

2. Everyone who is upside down should get relief.
By “re-equifying” those households, we free up consumer spending, stimulate lending, and start putting people back to work—everyone wins.

3. It will cost less.
By keeping people in their homes, we reduce the costs of social services that are breaking the budgets in every community.

4. We were all gamed by the system.
The system was set up to benefit someone. Lets' stop pointing blame.

5. It will happen anyway.
The equity is gone; the loss is real. Foreclosure is the most expensive, least desirable way to bring the property back to its true market value

6. We all win if we do and we all lose if we don’t.
I’m sure that a handful of people who haven’t felt some real pain may be taking some perverse pleasure in watching their neighbors pack up and leave, but when you hear the stories of some of the homeowners who have stayed in vacant neighborhoods, the actual cost to those who remain is probably greater.

7. Borrowers and investors both gain.
Securitized loans put the investor and the borrower in same boat. Both were defrauded by the financial intermediaries and neither has received any remedy for their losses.
Trillions for financial intermediaries and nothing for the parties that were scammed. Instead of giving the money to the financial intermediaries that perpetrated this Ponzi scheme, it should have gone to the investors who were willing to accept the reduction in value of the pool. Instead, we give the money to the financial intermediaries who conceal the values of the assets. It’s a game.

8. We can afford to do it; we cannot afford not to.
Since the start of the meltdown, the Fed has amassed a whopping $9 trillion in loans to foreigners, but they will not say and, apparently there is no record of, where the money went. That’s $30,000 for every man, woman and child in America. That’s our money and right now, we need it.
At the moment, Congress is pushing for an audit of the fed, something that hasn’t been done in over ninety years. You would think everyone who is working for the taxpayer would want the taxpayer to know where their money is going, but this is shaping up to be one heck of a fight.

9. Some players in the mortgage arena are starting to get it.
Wilbur Ross owns American Home Mortgage Servicing, Inc. one of the largest mortgage servicers in the country and he recently became one of the leading advocates for principal reduction. His reason, loans with significant principle reduction that give the owner equity in the property stay current.
In an interview with HousingWire he said, “The price of housing needs to be cleaned out. The Obama administration could right-size every underwater home and reduce principal to fit the current market value of the home. If they are going to deal with it they have to deal with it in a severe way.”
This was demonstrated in a study by investment firm Ellington Management which showed that every month, 8% of homeowners whose mortgages were 160% of the value of the home became delinquent while only one percent of those with loans that were 60% of value become delinquent.

10. It would jump start the economy.
Uncertainty isn’t good for the economy. Not knowing how far values will fall, not knowing when job losses will abate, and seeing no light at the end of the tunnel are paralyzing. Not just to consumers, but also to small business owners who are the hiring engines we need to pull us out of this recession. They need to know that consumers can and will spend before they start rehiring.

By restoring the lost equity in homes, we immediately stabilize real estate prices by establishing a “floor” and the true market value of property.
By stopping foreclosures, communities start to see their tax basis improve. They can start to rehire laid off workers such as teachers and emergency responders.

As distasteful as this may be to some people, it’s time to admit that there are no other solutions. The value is gone, never was really there, a few people got rich, a lot of people got poor, and now we have to fix it.

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